4
Blue Orquidea
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 55
Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#18
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA60 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 21st of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 25/07/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 02/09/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |