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11

Cause I Like You

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 49

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

45%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark at Killarney (1m) in July and back to that sort of form when good second of 16 in handicap (8/1) at Gowran (1m, soft) 10 days ago. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA48 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 126 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 48 par5/0548OR 48BHA46 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 46 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 46 parBHA44 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m1f163y Yie 124 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 44 par22/0644OR 44BHA43 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 43 · 7f211y Gd 123 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 43 parBHA42 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 42 · 1m30y Gd 122 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 42 par14/0742OR 42BHA49 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m Std 124 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 49 · 1m Yie 131 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 49 par30/0849OR 49BHA48 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 48 · 1m2f10y Gd 124 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 48 parBHA48 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 48 · 1m Yie 126 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 48 par19/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran ParkBHA482nd2nd0
2026-09-05NavanBHA4816th16th0
2026-08-30CorkBHA492nd2nd0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA495th5th0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA421st1st0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA432nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/052/0730/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/202611th12/137%23%-0.14
14/06/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
22/06/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
02/07/20262nd5/174%93%+0.19
14/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
15/08/20265th12/137%69%+0.32
30/08/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35
05/09/202616th7/163%25%-0.38
19/09/20262nd8/158%93%+0.35