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2

Cisterna

3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 58

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Comfortably scored at Roscommon in May. Largely in good form since until poor run at Listowel latest. Needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f Sft 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 58 par8/0458OR 58BHA57 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 7f111y Gd 125 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 parBHA62 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 62 · 6f63y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 62 par3/0662OR 62BHA62 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 133 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m160y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 62 par1/0762OR 62BHA60 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m73y Yie 120 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 60 parBHA58 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f94y Yie 135 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 58 par31/0858OR 58BHA55 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 22 · OR 55 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 55 parBHA58 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 58 · 7f15y Yie 138 · below its mark22/09/2026 · OR 58 par22/0958OR 58projClass-projected finish: 10th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22ListowelBHA5813th13th0
2026-09-09CorkBHA552nd2nd0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA5810th10th0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA608th8th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA625th5th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA625th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0414/0631/0822/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 2170% of fieldRange 11-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
11/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
03/06/20267th5/174%65%-0.09
14/06/20265th5/174%64%-0.10
01/07/20265th15/261%69%+0.09
02/08/20268th10/147%30%-0.17
31/08/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
09/09/20262nd11/142%95%+0.53
22/09/202613th9/276%14%-0.62