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Medieval Night

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 56

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still a maiden but he arrives in good form, making the frame again when creditable third of 14 in handicap at Clonmel (1¼m, good) 13 days ago. Likely to give another good account.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA59 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 142 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 59 par1/0659OR 59BHA57 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m1f GF 139 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 57 parBHA56 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 56 · 7f94y Goo 138 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 56 par30/0656OR 56BHA56 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 56 · 1m1f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m40y Gd 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 56 par15/0756OR 56BHA57 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 57 · 1m Goo 139 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 57 parBHA56 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 56 · 1m1f100y GF 138 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 56 par12/0856OR 56C9 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 141 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 59 parBHA56 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 56 · 1m1f168y Yie 138 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 56 par16/0956OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16ClonmelBHA563rd3rd0
2026-09-01Gowran Park?5th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA562nd2nd0
2026-07-22NaasBHA576th6th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA567th7th0
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA564th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/069/0712/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2195% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20268th12/137%53%+0.16
18/06/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
30/06/202610th9/153%36%-0.17
09/07/20264th22/10%86%+0.86
15/07/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
22/07/20266th16/116%71%+0.55
12/08/20262nd6/168%93%+0.24
01/09/20265th10/147%73%+0.26
16/09/20263rd6/168%85%+0.16