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10

Micasso

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 46

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Bellewstown (1m) in July. In and out since but shaped better than distance beaten when tenth of 22 in handicap at this course (7f, soft) 20 days ago, finishing with running left. Not discounted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA48 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 48 · 7f Sft 126 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 48 par10/0948OR 48BHA47 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 47 · 7f15y Hvy 127 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 47 parBHA45 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m Yie 123 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 45 par30/0945OR 45BHA48 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 46 · 7f211y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 46 par2/0746OR 46BHA52 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 52 · 7f42y Goo 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 52 par6/0852OR 52BHA51 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 51 · 1m20y Goo 133 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 51 parBHA47 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 47 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 47 par9/0947OR 47projClass-projected finish: 7th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA4710th10th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA514th4th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA5211th11th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA5212th12th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA461st1st0
2025-10-14DundalkBHA4812th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0914/106/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2185% of fieldRange 1-21 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20255th33/10%80%+0.80
23/09/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
30/09/20252nd9/153%92%+0.39
14/10/202512th7/282%15%-0.66
02/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
12/07/202612th16/116%15%-0.00
06/08/202611th33/10%38%+0.38
02/09/20264th15/261%80%+0.19
09/09/202610th6/168%57%-0.11