6

Racing Royalty

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 51

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Seventeen runs since last win in 2023 and ran poorly, back from 12 weeks off, in handicap at Galway (7f, soft) 21 days ago. Work to do.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Galway 28/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 65 · 7f Hvy 138 · beat its mark28/10/2024 · OR 65 par28/1065OR 65BHA64 @ Leopardstown 12/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f47y Sft 134 · below its mark12/06/2025 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark04/08/2025 · OR 63 par4/0863OR 63BHA60 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 60 · 7f Sft 130 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 60 parBHA61 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 61 · 1m Hvy 131 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 61 par22/0961OR 61BHA60 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 60 · 7f111y Sft 142 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 60 parBHA58 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f Yie 141 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 58 par10/0658OR 58BHA57 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m Sft 139 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 57 parBHA53 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 53 · 7f Sft 123 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 53 par8/0953OR 53projClass-projected finish: 9th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA537th7th0
2026-06-19LimerickBHA575th5th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA587th7th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA609th9th0
2025-09-22ListowelBHA619th9th0
2025-09-09GalwayBHA603rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/109/0910/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2155% of fieldRange 4-21 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/20242nd7/282%93%+0.12
12/06/202510th12/137%31%-0.06
04/08/20255th16/116%73%+0.58
09/09/20253rd11/271%86%+0.15
22/09/20259th4/179%43%-0.36
13/10/20259th9/276%43%-0.33
10/06/20267th28/10%54%+0.54
19/06/20265th10/147%67%+0.19
08/09/20267th6/168%40%-0.28