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18

Ramair

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 40

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★ Timeform

Commentary

Promise in Dundalk handicaps earlier this year but gone backwards since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tipperary 31/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f110y Yie 12531/08C8C0 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Std 131C8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 13423/01C8BHA45 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 45 · 1m Std 119 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 45 parBHA49 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 49 · 1m Std 119 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 49 par20/0349OR 49BHA49 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 49 · 1m2f150y Std 122 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 49 parBHA48 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 126 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 48 par5/0548OR 48BHA44 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 44 · 1m30y Gd 124 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 44 par14/0744OR 44projClass-projected finish: 20th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA4412th12th0
2026-05-05Gowran ParkBHA489th9th0
2026-04-10DundalkBHA496th6th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA495th5th0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA453rd3rd0
2026-01-23Dundalk?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0813/035/0514/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 10-21 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/202512th200/10%8%+0.08
17/12/20259th250/10%27%+0.27
23/01/202612th250/10%8%+0.08
13/03/20263rd50/10%71%+0.71
20/03/20265th16/116%50%+0.34
10/04/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
05/05/20269th33/10%38%+0.38
14/07/202612th28/10%0%0.00