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13

Saith Seren

5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 44

Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still looking for first success but posted another respectable effort when sixth of 10 in handicap at Laytown (7f) 19 days ago. Each-way claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Killarney 13/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m31y Gd 137 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 55 par13/0555OR 55C9 @ Gowran Park 15/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 52 · 1m Sft 134 · below its mark15/06/2025 · OR 52 parBHA51 @ Killarney 16/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 51 · 1m40y Sft 133 · beat its mark16/07/2025 · OR 51 par16/0751OR 51C8 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 47 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 47 parBHA51 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 51 · 1m1f100y Sft 121 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 51 par8/0451OR 51BHA48 @ Killarney 12/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 48 · 1m31y Gd 130 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 48 parC8 @ Ballinrobe 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m13y Goo 15126/05C8BHA47 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 47 · 1m Sft 129 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 47 parBHA45 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f Std 142 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 45 par10/0945OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA456th6th0
2026-06-19LimerickBHA473rd3rd0
2026-05-26Ballinrobe?9th9th0
2026-05-12KillarneyBHA485th5th0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA515th5th0
2026-03-13Dundalk?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0513/0326/0510/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/05/20258th10/147%46%-0.01
15/06/20259th10/147%43%-0.05
16/07/20254th6/168%73%+0.04
13/03/20265th66/10%20%+0.20
08/04/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
12/05/20265th7/163%71%+0.08
26/05/20269th100/10%43%+0.43
19/06/20263rd4/179%83%+0.04
10/09/20266th20/10%44%+0.44