19
Watercraft
3yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 56
Cork · Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | BHA60 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Chepstow | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Leicester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2145% of fieldRange 1-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +13.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 07/10/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |