8
Danza Taxi
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
27%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/10/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 04/05/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 10/12/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/09/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |