
Ice Again
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-24 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-17 | Zia Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2024-12-03 | Zia Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2024-11-26 | Zia Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 29/09/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 25/10/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 26/11/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 03/12/2024 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/12/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/02/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 16/03/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |