3

Ice Again

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Remington Park 13/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 11813/09C9C9 @ Remington Park 29/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 63 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark29/09/2024 · OR 63 parC9 @ Remington Park 25/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark25/10/2024 · OR 57 par25/10C9OR 57C6 @ Zia Park 26/11/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 5f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/11/2024 · OR 64 parC6 @ Zia Park 03/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 67 · 6f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/12/2024 · OR 67 par3/12C6OR 67C5 @ Zia Park 17/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/12/2024 · OR 76 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 28/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 85 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark28/02/2025 · OR 85 par28/02C8OR 85C8 @ Oaklawn Park 16/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark16/03/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 24/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 82 par24/04C8OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-04-24Oaklawn Park?7th7th0
2025-03-16Oaklawn Park?1st1st0
2025-02-28Oaklawn Park?3rd3rd0
2024-12-17Zia Park?7th4th+3
2024-12-03Zia Park?1st-1th+2
2024-11-26Zia Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0926/1128/0224/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength38%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/09/20246th10/147%38%-0.10
29/09/20246th6/168%0%-0.68
25/10/20243rd12/137%78%+0.41
26/11/20245th14/126%43%+0.17
03/12/20241st10/147%100%+0.53
17/12/20247th40/10%25%+0.25
28/02/20253rd20/10%78%+0.78
16/03/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
24/04/20257th9/153%25%-0.28