5
Sonnyisnotsofunny
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |