Strange Arrange
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |