6

Via Del Corso

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 82

Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 03/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 69 par3/08C8OR 69C8 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 71 parC8 @ Hawthorne 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 6f 119 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 66 par30/10C8OR 66C8 @ Hawthorne 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 60 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 60 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 70 · 5f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par23/05C7OR 70C8 @ Hawthorne 21/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 82 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 72 · 6f 126 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 72 par4/07C8OR 72C8 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 74 · 6f 126 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 74 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 79 par12/09C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Fairmount Park?4th3rd+1
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-06-21Hawthorne?2nd2nd0
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-04-26Hawthorne?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0826/044/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20256th9/276%0%-0.76
04/10/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
30/10/20252nd16/116%88%+0.72
26/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
23/05/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13
21/06/20262nd13/891%83%-0.08
04/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
18/07/20265th9/488%33%-0.55
12/09/20264th20/10%67%+0.67