3
Delta Lady
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 52
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |