Echo Dreamer
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 57
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-10-23 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 05/08/2025 | 6th | 6/5 | 94% | 17% | -0.77 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |