2
Primity
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 56
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 12/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |