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8

Karazest

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 63

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fas 12026/05C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 1m 120 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 67 par7/07C6OR 67C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f 120 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 67 par18/08C6OR 67C6 @ Fairmount Park 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m 120 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 64 par8/09C6OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/057/0718/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20262nd11/486%86%+0.00
07/07/20264th8/1196%57%-0.39
18/08/20264th1/195%67%-0.28
08/09/20263rd11/893%67%-0.26