6
Milaalah
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 46
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 14/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |