IvyArcIvyArc
2

Set In Ice

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 18

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 33 · 6f 120 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 33 par9/09C6OR 33C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 23 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 23 par4/10C6OR 23C6 @ Fairmount Park 28/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 80 · 5f110y 126 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 80 par28/07C6OR 80C6 @ Fairmount Park 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 37 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 37 par25/08C6OR 37projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-07-28Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-10-04Fairmount Park?9th9th0
2025-09-09Fairmount Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/094/1028/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +9.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20257th25/10%0%0.00
04/10/20259th25/10%0%0.00
28/07/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
25/08/20265th25/10%20%+0.20