Granddaddylonglegs
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 01/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 19/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |