4
Mystic Power
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/15 | 97% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |