Weslan
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |