4
Golden Edge
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/04/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 21/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |