3

Hootie Hoot

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57

Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 52 par4/10C8OR 52C7 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 56 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 54 par28/10C7OR 54C7 @ Fairmount Park 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 55 par5/05C6OR 55C6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 54 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 57 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 57 par18/08C6OR 57C8 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 58 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 58 par19/09C6OR 58projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Fairmount Park?6th4th+2
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?8th6th+2
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?5th3rd+2
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2
2026-04-28Fairmount Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/1028/0418/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength54%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
18/10/20256th9/153%29%-0.24
28/10/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
28/04/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
05/05/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
26/05/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
18/08/20268th20/10%0%0.00
01/09/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
19/09/20266th16/116%17%+0.01