Rietta
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 03/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |