Secret Operation
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-10-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2025-09-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |