3
Raceday Attire
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 70
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |