8
Saint Ghaaleb
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 12/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 30/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |