5
W W Grand Finale
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 69
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 15/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 12/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |