9
Wampus Kitten
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 4/7 | 97% | 0% | -0.97 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |