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3

Diamnd Con Suerte

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 73

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 24/06/2022 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark24/06/2022 · OR 85 par24/06C6OR 85C6 @ Fairmount Park 16/07/2022 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark16/07/2022 · OR 68 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 15/08/2023 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark15/08/2023 · OR 52 par15/08C6OR 52C6 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2023 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 58 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark19/09/2023 · OR 58 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 07/11/2023 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 60 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark07/11/2023 · OR 60 par7/11C6OR 60C6 @ Fairmount Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 66 · 6f 124 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 66 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 21/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 6f 124 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 65 par21/10C6OR 65C6 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 65 · 6f 124 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 65 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 77 par8/09C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2025-10-21Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2025-09-27Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2023-11-07Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2023-09-19Fairmount Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0619/0921/108/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength44%

Delivery trend +11.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20225th1/195%33%-0.61
16/07/20224th6/594%50%-0.44
15/08/20232nd13/891%80%-0.11
19/09/20236th9/276%29%-0.48
07/11/20235th14/126%33%+0.07
27/09/20256th15/261%17%-0.44
21/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
04/07/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
08/09/20264th25/10%63%+0.63