Basscoat
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 06/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/07/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/11/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |