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8

Best Man Speech

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 50 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 50 par9/09C8OR 50C6 @ Fairmount Park 30/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 54 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 54 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 52 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 52 par18/10C8OR 52C8 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f 124 · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 54 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 59 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 59 par23/05C6OR 59C8 @ Fairmount Park 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 56 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 51 · 6f Gd 124 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 51 par25/07C8OR 51C8 @ Fairmount Park 04/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m 124 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 58 par29/08C8OR 58projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-08-04Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-06-16Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?6th4th+2
2025-10-28Fairmount Park?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0928/1025/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength2%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
30/09/20257th33/10%0%0.00
18/10/20254th14/126%25%-0.01
28/10/20258th40/10%0%0.00
23/05/20266th20/10%0%0.00
16/06/20266th16/116%17%+0.01
25/07/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
04/08/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
29/08/20267th33/10%40%+0.40