Lucky Boss
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 04/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |