
Mon Ami Fuzzie
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |