11
Shady Mcgee
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +10.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |