Canyouhearmerunnin
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 90
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 04/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 01/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |