Hay Hay Harry
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 90
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 05/05/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |