2

Pompous Prince

6yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 97

Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 27/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 91 par27/10C6OR 91C6 @ Finger Lakes 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 92 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 92 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 91 par27/05C6OR 91C6 @ Finger Lakes 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 89 par24/06C6OR 89C6 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 90 parC7 @ Finger Lakes 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 95 · 6f 121 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 95 par18/08C7OR 95C7 @ Finger Lakes 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 6f Gd 121 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 96 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 97 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 97 par15/09C6OR 97projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Finger Lakes?5th4th+1
2026-09-02Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?4th3rd+1
2026-06-24Finger Lakes?1st0th+1
2026-06-10Finger Lakes?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1010/0618/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
13/11/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
27/05/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
10/06/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
24/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
18/08/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
02/09/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
15/09/20265th8/158%50%-0.08