2
Jessica's Ride
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2023-08-04 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2023 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 21/05/2023 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 25/06/2023 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 04/08/2023 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |