7
Maize Loved Laffy
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength22%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 18/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 29/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |