Silent Melody
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Meadowlands | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 09/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 17/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 33% | -0.62 |