6
Admiral Sol
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |