1
Enterprisingly
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 71
Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |