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4

Immigration Law

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 56

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 1m Slo 118 · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 57 par14/06C9OR 57C9 @ Saratoga 25/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m1f Fm 118 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 61 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 01/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 1m110y 120 · beat its mark01/09/2025 · OR 57 par1/09C6OR 57C5 @ Finger Lakes 29/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m70y 121 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 60 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 60 · 6f 124 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 60 par3/06C5OR 60C5 @ Finger Lakes 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 62 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 58 par14/07C5OR 58C5 @ Finger Lakes 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m 124 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 55 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 55 par14/09C5OR 55projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-28Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-07-14Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-06-16Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-06-03Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2025-09-29Finger Lakes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0629/0914/0714/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20254th5/174%40%-0.34
25/07/20258th33/10%0%0.00
01/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
29/09/20256th6/168%17%-0.52
03/06/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
16/06/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
14/07/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
28/07/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02
14/09/20264th12/137%25%-0.12