7

La Indecente

5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 77

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 24/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark24/11/2025 · OR 65 par24/11C8OR 65C8 @ Finger Lakes 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fas 122 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 6f 122 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 67 par3/06C8OR 67C8 @ Finger Lakes 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 124 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 67 par29/06C8OR 67C5 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 68 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 67 par3/08C5OR 67C5 @ Finger Lakes 19/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/08/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 par9/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Finger Lakes?6th8th−2
2026-08-19Finger Lakes?6th5th+1
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?4th3rd+1
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-29Finger Lakes?5th7th−2
2026-06-15Finger Lakes?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1115/063/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength33%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/11/20253rd14/126%60%+0.34
20/05/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
03/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
29/06/20265th4/179%33%-0.46
20/07/20263rd33/10%71%+0.71
03/08/20264th10/147%50%+0.03
19/08/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
09/09/20266th14/126%38%+0.11