
Marilyn's Ny Pride
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/11/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 16/01/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 18/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |