
Princess Wadadli
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 05/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |