Zhen Lou
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |